US labor market sends mixed signals

Washington (dpa) – The US labor market sent mixed signals in September. While job creation fell well short of expectations, the unemployment rate fell significantly to 4.8 percent and hourly wages rose sharply.

Outside agriculture are 194. 000 Employees added, announced the Department of Labor on Friday in Washington. Analysts had expected an average increase of 500. 000 jobs.

However, the employment trend is not quite as weak how it looks at first sight. Finally, the figures in the two previous months were revised upwards by a total of 169. 000 digits. The employment figures are generally very susceptible to correction.

US President Joe Biden pointed out on Friday that the unemployment rate had fallen below five percent for the first time since March last year – at that time, the pandemic and the accompanying economic crisis were in the USA started. Since taking office in January, a total of almost five million jobs have been created. Biden said that he would like to see faster progress as his investment projects stalled because of opposition in Congress. “However, we are making steady progress.”

Unemployment rate fell by 0.4 percentage points

Dirk Chlench, economist at Landesbank Baden-Württemberg, thinks it is possible that the increase in employment will also be revised upwards in the coming months. Finally, the household survey and the latest report by the labor market service provider ADP would point to an increase in employment of more than 500. 000 jobs in September. The employment figures are determined by a survey of companies and the unemployment rate by a household survey.

Compared to August, the unemployment rate fell by 0.4 percentage points to 4.8 percent. Analysts had expected a much smaller decline to 5.1 percent. According to the ministry, the number of unemployed fell 710. 000 to 7.7 million. That is significantly fewer unemployed than was recorded after the corona pandemic attacked the United States. The pre-crisis level has not yet been reached: In February 2020 the unemployment rate was 3.5 percent. That corresponded to about 5.7 million unemployed.

The wage development was also stronger than expected. The average hourly wages increased by 0.6 percent compared to the previous month. Analysts had expected an average increase of 0.4 percent. Compared to the same month last year, hourly wages rose by 4.6 percent.

According to Chlench, the decline in the unemployment rate and the accelerated rise in hourly wages suggest that the US Federal Reserve will soon exit, as indicated their very loose monetary policy should begin. The reactions on the financial markets were therefore limited. The euro initially gained against the US dollar. However, he gave most of his profits back. On the US bond market, prices rose somewhat. The rashes were limited. The bottom line was that the stock markets hardly reacted.

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